swan_tower: (Maleficent)
[personal profile] swan_tower
A really good post laying out the basics of Japan's response to the earthquake and tsunami.

The thing we need to bear in mind (other than the fact that Japan is a very long country, and most parts of it are hundreds of miles from the epicenter) is that there is no place in the world better-prepared for seismic trouble than Japan. Read through that post. Read about the checklists. Read about the architecture and the failsafes and the emergency warning systems. This is still a tragedy and a disaster, and no amount of human planning can completely mitigate that; ultimately, the planet is stronger than we are. But this would be a much larger tragedy and disaster if they hadn't been ready for it. (Even the situation at the Fukushima reactors isn't as bad as it could have been, though I can't confirm if the writer of that post is right about the scale of leakage there. I hope he is.)

Remember this, the next time some politician in your locality or nation proposes cutting funding for emergency preparedness, be it earthquake, tornado, hurricane, volcano, blizzard, or whatever. It's an easy cut to make in the short term, when you're trying to make a political point about "fiscal responsibility." But I put that inside sarcasm quotes because what you're really doing is gambling that nothing bad is really going to happen, and sooner or later, you lose that bet. Japan knows better than to gamble on that; they're home to some absurdly high percentage of the world's earthquakes. But other countries -- like the U.S. -- aren't so sensible, and places like New Orleans pay the bill.

I want to be more like Japan. I live in California, and I want to believe my state is equally ready for when the Hayward Fault blows. But I don't think we are.

Date: 2011-03-15 08:20 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lindenfoxcub.livejournal.com
Here in Winnipeg, in 1969 we had a premier with the bright idea of building a very large and very expensive diversion, the red river floodway, to protect the city from spring floods. It was very controversial, and people laughed at it and called it duffy's ditch. After the flood of 1997, people didn't laugh at it anymore, and since it was built, it's now been expanded and raised. It cost millions, but it's saved and estimated 10 billion dollars in damage over the years. It's looking like it's going to go into use again this year too.

It's been really interesting, through the tragedy, to see what a difference preparedness makes in a situation like this. I bet if it had happened in a 3rd world country, the number of casualties would be exponentially higher.

Times like this make me want to write a story about a natural disaster; only in a fantasy setting. It's not something that gets handled in genre fiction much. I'd just need a plot.

Date: 2011-03-15 08:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] swan-tower.livejournal.com
Compare against the Port-au-Prince earthquake a year ago, or the tsunami in India. Japan's casualties have been much lower so far.

Preparedness is like any other kind of insurance. It costs money up front, and as a result, not everyone can afford it, even though that means they'll be paying an even larger bill further down the line. But if you can afford it, then it's flat-out stupid not to pay.

Date: 2011-03-16 01:37 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mindstalk.livejournal.com
pedantry: tsunami in Indonesia, I think you mean.

Date: 2011-03-16 01:50 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] swan-tower.livejournal.com
Yes, my error.

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